Monday, September 19, 2005

So now what (there may be trouble ahead)…

post missing

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

I'm a bit hazy on this, but if the general rule is, whoever has the confidence of parliament gets to be the government, is it possible that national could also cobble together a majority coalition? Probably not, I guess--nats + ACT + NZ first + united = 61 seats. But if labour is thinking about a minority coalition, with votes on supply etc, then couldn't the nats do the same?

As an aside, has anyone talked about the GG yet and her role (I haven't bothered to go check yet)? I think she must be highly relevant in such a fluid situation. How would she choose the acceptable possibilities?

Terence said...

The Nats can only form a government if they can get 62 seats. So the 61 they have wouldn't be enough unless they can talk some deal with the Maori party (unlikely but not impossible). The Greens progressives or Labour would never offer such a deal. The only other way the Nats can get into power is if special votes change the number of seats.